(NewsNation) — President Joe Biden is the Democrats’ best choice and will win reelection come November, prominent presidential election forecaster Allan Lichtman said on NewsNation’s “Cuomo.”
Lichtman, a highly regarded history professor at American University who boasts a 90% accuracy record in predicting presidential election outcomes, said the incumbent candidate checks off more of his “keys” than anyone else.
Developed in 1981 with mathematician Vladimir Keilis-Borok, Lichtman’s formula of 13 keys to the White House has helped him make overwhelmingly accurate predictions ever since.
Despite Democratic calls for Biden to step down and back-and-forth polling showing him on the outs, Lichtman stands firm in his assessment.
“Polls are snapshots, not predictors,” Lichtman said. “They are abused as predictors.”
“You have the same pundits now, based on one debate, rather than three and a half years of presidency, writing off Joe Biden,” Lichtman added.
Lichtman’s 13 keys to the White House
Party Mandate
Party Contest
Incumbency
3rd Party
Short-term Economy
Long-term Economy
Policy Change
Social Unrest
Scandal
Foreign Policy
Incumbent Charisma
Challenger Charisma
NewsNation’s Liz Jassin contributed to this report.
